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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I will deviate from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL discussion to dip our toes and render our school football picks on the Monday night game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will probably be the first and only time this season we do this, as the previous week of display NFL football is somewhat lackluster in comparison to some regular-season sport of NCAA football featuring one of the top teams in the country, plus a legendary football program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets start the debate after my buddy Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a bet about the Steelers while I endorsed the Titans. We have been placing wins forth and back so it looks like its my turn for the gold wreath, as I will follow the squares laying the lumber that is heavy on a public street favorite and endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the college football odds almost six days before this Monday night affair, I see that the lineup has spiked a half-point on the favorite, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its now offered in a solid -20 round the board at all the best online sportsbooks.
Doug, I love the Irish but youre currently leaning in this season-opening clash onto the Cardinals. Besides the venue, why is it that you think Louisville could hang with the boys in South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yup Swinger, and a triumph IMO, said a lot about the direction of both the Steelers and Titans. Let us proceed to real soccer, in which the matches rely and will our recordings on this one.
Recall Louisville utilized to perform against big-name competitions? They held their engineered and own several upsets. These were enjoyable games and also the Cardinals were an exciting golf club.
However, like the former Papa Johns Stadium and its phony (in real life) owner, Louisville football last season was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles at Appalachian State and are out win games and to alter the civilization. This wont happen immediately as the talent level is down from theVille. Nonethelessthis is a huge time for Louisville, a group which has the opportunity to begin taking steps in the ideal direction.
I have read where the Cards trainers have popped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall since the lead running back. The protection, well, which makes me more worried than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins. You have up your Irish please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing flying in this match as the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest. Scott Satterfield is currently in the big leagues and he has a team coming off of a dismal record this past year, where they went winless. This rebuild is comparable to taking a hot air balloon and attempting to turn it in an F-22 Raptor.
While this may eventually happen, the issue is that Louisville is confronting a group that made it to the CFP this past year and possessed one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points over the normal season and moving a perfect 12-0 till they met Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense was clicking on all cylinders also, averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, just how will be a quarterback like Pass who is slow to release, designed to get some traction against a swarming Irish shield? Especially when hes working with an offensive scheme that is entirely new and a new trainer?
Please, Doug, rescue me Im lost! I see no way, shape or form where Louisville is going to be able to keep pace and I am desperate for handicapping expertise that is prodigious and your ancestral wisdom!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im glad to read in your last sentence youre coming over to the bright side of sports gambling, or youre just being the exact same shrewd a** you are. I will let the SBR readers who are making school football picks decide on that. I am the first to understand Louisville fully pumped and was, however 1-11 ATS final year.
Like he gave up about the Atlanta Falcons but that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino. A new trainer brings a fresh attitude on creating a statement, and with this being a national match, his team will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does have to trust the Irish will take them for granted and never have a lot of fight.
Lets also think about, Brian Kelly using gold and all the blue is just 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, also a ATS if dishing out 20 or more specimens. This defense you said might improve as the season progresses but replacing five starters, even whenever you dont/cant recruit like Bama or even Clemson, it will take time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was a bit facetious because although you have an impressive handicapping resume, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this situation, because Louisville could be greater compared to last year but Id submit that they are coached with a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their deplorable record rendered by an awkward coach like Petrino, you happen to be shooting blanks.
I understand that laying nearly three touchdowns on the road is square biz for sure along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy road chalk, but at times the public is correct, and also in this instance they surely are. Until when we get back on our NFL Game of the Week next week, let us see what happens on Monday night when the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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